Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jared Gooden won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 2, 2023·Austin, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Wellington Turman wins(58.8%)
Actual result: Jared Gooden wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jared Gooden enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jared Gooden has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jared Gooden has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Wellington Turman
Red Corner
VS
Jared Gooden
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
29
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Wellington TurmanL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Bruno Silva · Jun 21W
vs Sam Alvey · Aug 21W
SUBvs Misha Cirkunov · Feb 22L
vs Andre Petroski · Nov 22L
vs Randy Brown · Jun 23Jared GoodenL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov · Mar 21W
KOvs Niklas Stolze · Jul 21L
vs Randy Brown · Oct 21L
vs Carlston Harris · Mar 23L
vs Chidi Njokuani · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Wellington TurmanMetricJared Gooden
3.23
Strikes / min
4.40
4.17
Strikes absorbed / min
6.74
45%
Strike defense
45%
1.55
TDs / 15 min
0.91
42%
Takedown defense
65%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.94Δ 1.40 — meaningful gap-2.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Wellington TurmanJared Gooden
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Wellington Turman(9 fights)Jared Gooden(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+22.1-22.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-105.0105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Wellington Turman
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights9
Jared Gooden
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights7