Lightweight
3 Rounds
Alex Oliveira won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 1, 2016·Portland, Oregon, USA, USA
Style matchupWill Brooks: WrestlervsAlex Oliveira: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Will Brooks wins(59.9%)
Actual result: Alex Oliveira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Oliveira enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Will Brooks has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Will Brooks has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Alex Oliveira has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Will Brooks
Red Corner
VS
Alex Oliveira
Blue Corner
-320
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
39
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Will BrooksL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ross Pearson · Jul 16L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Apr 17L
SUBvs Nik Lentz · Nov 17Alex OliveiraL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Peter Sobotta · Jul 20L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Oct 20L
SUBvs Randy Brown · Apr 21L
vs Niko Price · Oct 21L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Mar 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Will BrooksMetricAlex Oliveira
4.26
Strikes / min
2.99
2.54
Strikes absorbed / min
2.55
56%
Strike defense
46%
2.08
TDs / 15 min
2.35
82%
Takedown defense
63%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.72Δ 1.28 — meaningful gap+0.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Will BrooksAlex Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Will Brooks(4 fights)Alex Oliveira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-23.623.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+15.0-15.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Will Brooks
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4
Alex Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights21