Lightweight
3 Rounds
Charles Oliveira won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 8, 2017·Buffalo, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupWill Brooks: WrestlervsCharles Oliveira: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Will Brooks wins(55.7%)
Actual result: Charles Oliveira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Charles Oliveira threatens submissions; Will Brooks has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Will Brooks has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Will Brooks
Red Corner
VS
Charles Oliveira
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
39
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Will BrooksL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ross Pearson · Jul 16L
KOvs Alex Oliveira · Oct 16L
SUBvs Nik Lentz · Nov 17Charles OliveiraW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Apr 24W
vs Michael Chandler · Nov 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Jun 25W
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Oct 25W
vs Max Holloway · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Will BrooksMetricCharles Oliveira
4.26
Strikes / min
3.23
2.54
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
56%
Strike defense
48%
2.08
TDs / 15 min
2.29
82%
Takedown defense
54%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
2.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.72Δ 1.54 — meaningful gap+0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Will BrooksCharles Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Will Brooks(4 fights)Charles Oliveira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-30.330.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Will Brooks
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4
Charles Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights36