Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Chris Cariaso won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 22, 2011·Killeen, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Will Campuzano wins(55.0%)
Actual result: Chris Cariaso wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Will Campuzano enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Chris Cariaso enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Chris Cariaso (53.5%).
- Will Campuzano has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Will Campuzano
Red Corner
VS
Chris Cariaso
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
39
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'3"
177.8 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Will CampuzanoL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Nick Pace · Dec 10L
vs Sergio Pettis · Nov 13L
vs Justin Scoggins · Mar 14Chris CariasoL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Danny Martinez · Feb 14W
vs Louis Smolka · May 14L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Sep 14L
vs Henry Cejudo · Mar 15L
vs Sergio Pettis · Oct 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Will CampuzanoMetricChris Cariaso
2.43
Strikes / min
3.35
3.82
Strikes absorbed / min
2.23
57%
Strike defense
61%
0.88
TDs / 15 min
1.11
48%
Takedown defense
57%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.39Δ 2.51 — meaningful gap+1.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Will CampuzanoChris Cariaso
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Will Campuzano(4 fights)Chris Cariaso(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.016.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Will Campuzano
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4
Chris Cariaso
StanceSouthpaw
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights13