Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Marcin Prachnio won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 18, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: William Knight wins(65.0%)
Actual result: Marcin Prachnio wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marcin Prachnio has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
William Knight
Red Corner
VS
Marcin Prachnio
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
38
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'3"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
William KnightL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Da-Un Jung · Apr 21W
KOvs Fabio Cherant · Aug 21W
vs Alonzo Menifield · Dec 21L
vs Maxim Grishin · Feb 22L
KOvs Devin Clark · Apr 22Marcin PrachnioL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Philipe Lins · Apr 22L
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · Jul 23W
vs Devin Clark · Feb 24L
SUBvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jul 24L
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
William KnightMetricMarcin Prachnio
2.62
Strikes / min
5.52
3.30
Strikes absorbed / min
3.15
35%
Strike defense
54%
1.78
TDs / 15 min
0.14
48%
Takedown defense
53%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.68Δ 3.05 — meaningful gap+2.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
William KnightMarcin Prachnio
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
William Knight(7 fights)Marcin Prachnio(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+29.9-29.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
William Knight
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7
Marcin Prachnio
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights11