Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Maxim Grishin won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 12, 2022·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: William Knight wins(63.8%)
Actual result: Maxim Grishin wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Maxim Grishin has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Maxim Grishin has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Maxim Grishin has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
William Knight
Red Corner
VS
Maxim Grishin
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
38
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'3"
185.42 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
William KnightL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Da-Un Jung · Apr 21W
KOvs Fabio Cherant · Aug 21W
vs Alonzo Menifield · Dec 21L
KOvs Devin Clark · Apr 22L
vs Marcin Prachnio · Feb 23Maxim GrishinL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Marcin Tybura · Jul 20W
KOvs Gadzhimurad Antigulov · Oct 20L
vs Dustin Jacoby · Feb 21L
vs Philipe Lins · Jun 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
William KnightMetricMaxim Grishin
2.62
Strikes / min
3.26
3.30
Strikes absorbed / min
2.27
35%
Strike defense
58%
1.78
TDs / 15 min
0.21
48%
Takedown defense
66%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.68Δ 1.67 — meaningful gap+0.99
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
William KnightMaxim Grishin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
William Knight(7 fights)Maxim Grishin(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+46.5-46.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-280.0280.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
William Knight
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7
Maxim Grishin
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights5