Welterweight
3 Rounds
Matt Dwyer won
UFC Event·Sunday, February 22, 2015·Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: William Patolino wins(63.0%)
Actual result: Matt Dwyer wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Dwyer enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
William Patolino
Red Corner
VS
Matt Dwyer
Blue Corner
-410
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+365
(22%)
23
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'4"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
William Patolino
oldest →latest
L
vs Leonardo Santos · Jun 13W
vs Bobby Voelker · Dec 13L
vs Neil Magny · Oct 14Matt DwyerL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Albert Tumenov · Oct 14L
vs Alan Jouban · Jul 15L
vs Randy Brown · Jan 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
William PatolinoMetricMatt Dwyer
—
Strikes / min
2.57
—
Strikes absorbed / min
3.24
—
Strike defense
54%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.44
—
Takedown defense
60%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
William PatolinoMatt Dwyer
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
William Patolino(4 fights)Matt Dwyer(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.6-2.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
William Patolino
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4
Matt Dwyer
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights4