Flyweight
3 Rounds
John Moraga won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 14, 2018·Glendale, Arizona, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Wilson Reis wins(53.9%)
Actual result: John Moraga wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Wilson Reis (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Wilson Reis
Red Corner
VS
John Moraga
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
41
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'6"
165.1 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Wilson Reis
oldest →latest
W
vs Ulka Sasaki · Feb 17L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Apr 17L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Sep 17W
vs Ben Nguyen · Dec 18L
KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Apr 19John Moraga
oldest →latest
L
vs Matheus Nicolau · Jul 16L
vs Sergio Pettis · Jan 17W
vs Ashkan Mokhtarian · Jun 17W
KOvs Magomed Bibulatov · Oct 17L
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Wilson ReisMetricJohn Moraga
1.83
Strikes / min
2.57
3.04
Strikes absorbed / min
2.55
55%
Strike defense
56%
5.15
TDs / 15 min
0.62
47%
Takedown defense
44%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.21Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap+0.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Wilson ReisJohn Moraga
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Wilson Reis(10 fights)John Moraga(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-2.22.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Wilson Reis
StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights13
John Moraga
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14