Featherweight
3 Rounds
Yadier del Valle won · SUB R1
YV
CM
Yadier del VallevsConnor Matthews
UFC Event · Saturday, May 17, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupYadier del Valle: Submission grapplervsConnor Matthews: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Yadier del Valle wins(66.5%)
Actual result: Yadier del Valle wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yadier del Valle threatens submissions; Connor Matthews has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Connor Matthews (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Yadier del Valle
Red Corner
VS
Connor Matthews
Blue Corner
-620
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+460
(18%)
29
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
5'9"
Height
5'8"
175.26 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yadier del Valle
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Isaac Dulgarian · Nov 25L
vs Jordan Leavitt · Feb 26Connor MatthewsL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dennis Buzukja · Mar 24L
KOvs Jose Delgado · Feb 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yadier del ValleMetricConnor Matthews
4.05
Strikes / min
4.82
2.16
Strikes absorbed / min
6.06
55%
Strike defense
55%
1.23
TDs / 15 min
3.24
58%
Takedown defense
46%
2.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.89Δ 3.13 — meaningful gap-1.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Yadier del ValleConnor Matthews
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yadier del Valle(3 fights)Connor Matthews(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.6-32.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.5-49.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.4-49.4
Yadier del Valle
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights3
Connor Matthews
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights3