Featherweight
5 Rounds
Yair Rodriguez won · S-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, August 6, 2016·Salt Lake City, Utah, USA, USA
Style matchupYair Rodriguez: Pressure fightervsAlex Caceres: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Yair Rodriguez wins(62.0%)
Actual result: Yair Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Caceres has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alex Caceres (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Yair Rodriguez
Red Corner
VS
Alex Caceres
Blue Corner
-335
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+275
(27%)
33
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yair Rodriguez
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Brian Ortega · Jul 22W
SUBvs Josh Emmett · Feb 23L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Jul 23L
SUBvs Brian Ortega · Feb 24W
vs Patricio Freire · Apr 25Alex CaceresL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 22W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jun 23L
vs Giga Chikadze · Aug 23L
vs Sean Woodson · May 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yair RodriguezMetricAlex Caceres
4.65
Strikes / min
4.21
3.78
Strikes absorbed / min
3.09
52%
Strike defense
62%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
0.54
59%
Takedown defense
64%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.87evenly matched on net striking+1.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Yair RodriguezAlex Caceres
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yair Rodriguez(10 fights)Alex Caceres(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+41.0-41.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Yair Rodriguez
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights15
Alex Caceres
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights29