Featherweight
5 Rounds
Yair Rodriguez won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Sunday, January 15, 2017·Phoenix, Arizona, USA, USA
Style matchupYair Rodriguez: Pressure fightervsBJ Penn: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Yair Rodriguez wins(64.5%)
Actual result: Yair Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- BJ Penn enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- BJ Penn is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Yair Rodriguez has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- BJ Penn has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Yair Rodriguez
Red Corner
VS
BJ Penn
Blue Corner
-350
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+290
(26%)
33
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yair Rodriguez
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Brian Ortega · Jul 22W
SUBvs Josh Emmett · Feb 23L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Jul 23L
SUBvs Brian Ortega · Feb 24W
vs Patricio Freire · Apr 25BJ PennL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Rory MacDonald · Dec 12L
KOvs Frankie Edgar · Jul 14L
vs Dennis Siver · Jun 17L
SUBvs Ryan Hall · Dec 18L
vs Clay Guida · May 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yair RodriguezMetricBJ Penn
4.65
Strikes / min
2.76
3.78
Strikes absorbed / min
3.20
52%
Strike defense
56%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
1.19
59%
Takedown defense
74%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.87Δ 1.31 — meaningful gap-0.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Yair RodriguezBJ Penn
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yair Rodriguez(10 fights)BJ Penn(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+133.6-133.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-762.0762.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.9-1.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Yair Rodriguez
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights15
BJ Penn
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10