Featherweight
3 Rounds
Yair Rodriguez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Friday, October 18, 2019·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupYair Rodriguez: Pressure fightervsJeremy Stephens: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Yair Rodriguez wins(65.6%)
Actual result: Yair Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jeremy Stephens enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Yair Rodriguez
Red Corner
VS
Jeremy Stephens
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
33
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yair Rodriguez
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Brian Ortega · Jul 22W
SUBvs Josh Emmett · Feb 23L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Jul 23L
SUBvs Brian Ortega · Feb 24W
vs Patricio Freire · Apr 25Jeremy StephensL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jose Aldo · Jul 18L
vs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Mar 19L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · May 20L
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Jul 21L
vs Mason Jones · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yair RodriguezMetricJeremy Stephens
4.65
Strikes / min
3.13
3.78
Strikes absorbed / min
3.25
52%
Strike defense
57%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
1.10
59%
Takedown defense
61%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.87evenly matched on net striking-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Yair RodriguezJeremy Stephens
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yair Rodriguez(10 fights)Jeremy Stephens(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+64.8-64.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+112.0-112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Yair Rodriguez
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights15
Jeremy Stephens
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights26