Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Leonardo Morales (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yair Rodriguez
oldest →W
KOvs Brian Ortega · Jul 22W
SUBvs Josh Emmett · Feb 23L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Jul 23L
SUBvs Brian Ortega · Feb 24W
vs Patricio Freire · Apr 25 Leonardo Morales
oldest →L
SUBvs Jose Quinonez · Jun 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yair RodriguezMetricLeonardo Morales
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.87evenly matched on net striking0.00
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yair Rodriguez(10 fights)Leonardo Morales(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +149.0|Blue -149.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Yair RodriguezTargetLeonardo Morales
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Yair Rodriguez edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control1:44
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:42Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control1:47
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:35Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:25
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
