Featherweight
3 Rounds
Yair Rodriguez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 12, 2025·Miami, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Yair Rodriguez wins(81.3%)
Actual result: Yair Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yair Rodriguez has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Yair Rodriguez
Red Corner
VS
Patricio Freire
Blue Corner
-164
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+138
(42%)
33
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'6"
180.34 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yair RodriguezL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Max Holloway · Nov 21W
KOvs Brian Ortega · Jul 22W
SUBvs Josh Emmett · Feb 23L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Jul 23L
SUBvs Brian Ortega · Feb 24Patricio Freire
oldest →latest
W
vs Dan Ige · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yair RodriguezMetricPatricio Freire
4.65
Strikes / min
—
3.78
Strikes absorbed / min
—
52%
Strike defense
—
0.71
TDs / 15 min
—
59%
Takedown defense
—
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
—
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Yair RodriguezPatricio Freire
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yair Rodriguez(10 fights)Patricio Freire(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+86.3-86.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.348.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Yair Rodriguez
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights15
Patricio Freire
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights2