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Strawweight
3 Rounds
7 days away
Elo1500
Elo1539

Yan XiaonanvsDenise GomesUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · Saturday, August 29, 2026Shanghai, China

Fight begins in
Style matchupYan Xiaonan: Well-roundedvsDenise Gomes: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

The model's pick for this fight is locked

Yan Xiaonan vs Denise Gomes is on the undercard. Headliner picks are free — unlock the full card with a $9 monthly Fight Detective membership.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Denise Gomes enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Yan Xiaonan
Red Corner
VS
Denise Gomes
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1500
Elo
1539
37
Age
26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'2"
160.02 cm
Reach
160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yan Xiaonan
oldest →
W
vs Mackenzie Dern · Oct 22
W
KOvs Jessica Andrade · May 23
L
vs Zhang Weili · Apr 24
W
vs Tabatha Ricci · Nov 24
L
vs Virna Jandiroba · Apr 25
latest
Denise GomesW4 streak
oldest →
L
vs Angela Hill · Nov 23
W
vs Eduarda Moura · Jun 24
W
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Nov 24
W
KOvs Elise Reed · May 25
W
vs Tecia Pennington · Nov 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Yan XiaonanMetricDenise Gomes
4.69
Strikes / min
4.43
3.23
Strikes absorbed / min
3.16
60%
Strike defense
51%
0.84
TDs / 15 min
1.45
64%
Takedown defense
66%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.46evenly matched on net striking+1.27
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801498151515331550← oldermost recent →
Yan Xiaonan(10 fights)Denise Gomes(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -39.0|Blue +39.0
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red +210.0|Blue -210.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: Decision.

KO / TKO44%

Historical win share: Denise Gomes earned 50% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission0%

Limited submission threat from either side.

Decision56%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Yan Xiaonan

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights13

Denise Gomes

StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights8