Lightweight
3 Rounds
Damir Hadzovic won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 26, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Damir Hadzovic wins(58.3%)
Actual result: Damir Hadzovic wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yancy Medeiros enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Damir Hadzovic enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Damir Hadzovic has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Yancy Medeiros has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Yancy Medeiros has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Yancy Medeiros
Red Corner
VS
Damir Hadzovic
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
38
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
190.5 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yancy MedeirosL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Erick Silva · Jun 17W
KOvs Alex Oliveira · Dec 17L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Feb 18L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Jan 19L
vs Lando Vannata · Feb 20Damir HadzovicL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Polo Reyes · Feb 19L
vs Christos Giagos · Jun 19L
SUBvs Renato Moicano · Mar 20L
vs Marc Diakiese · Jul 22L
KOvs Terrance McKinney · Feb 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yancy MedeirosMetricDamir Hadzovic
4.36
Strikes / min
3.34
5.67
Strikes absorbed / min
3.74
47%
Strike defense
59%
0.33
TDs / 15 min
0.91
73%
Takedown defense
34%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.31evenly matched on net striking-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Yancy MedeirosDamir Hadzovic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yancy Medeiros(10 fights)Damir Hadzovic(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.7-17.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Yancy Medeiros
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights14
Damir Hadzovic
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10