Welterweight
3 Rounds
Yancy Medeiros won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 10, 2016·Cleveland, Ohio, USA, USA
Style matchupYancy Medeiros: Pressure fightervsSean Spencer: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Yancy Medeiros wins(51.2%)
Actual result: Yancy Medeiros wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yancy Medeiros enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Yancy Medeiros threatens submissions; Sean Spencer has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Sean Spencer has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Yancy Medeiros
Red Corner
VS
Sean Spencer
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yancy MedeirosL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alex Oliveira · Dec 17L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Feb 18L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Jan 19L
vs Lando Vannata · Feb 20L
vs Damir Hadzovic · Jun 21Sean SpencerL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Drew Dober · Nov 13L
vs Alex Garcia · Mar 14W
vs Paulo Thiago · Sep 14L
vs Cathal Pendred · Jan 15L
KOvs Mike Pyle · Feb 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yancy MedeirosMetricSean Spencer
4.36
Strikes / min
4.24
5.67
Strikes absorbed / min
4.02
47%
Strike defense
60%
0.33
TDs / 15 min
0.14
73%
Takedown defense
68%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.31Δ 1.53 — meaningful gap+0.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Yancy MedeirosSean Spencer
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yancy Medeiros(10 fights)Sean Spencer(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.8-19.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-98.098.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.02.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Yancy Medeiros
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights14
Sean Spencer
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights8