Flyweight
3 Rounds
Fredy Serrano won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 28, 2015·Seoul, South Korea, South Korea
Model Prediction: Yao Zhikui wins(51.0%)
Actual result: Fredy Serrano wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Fredy Serrano has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Fredy Serrano has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Yao Zhikui
Red Corner
VS
Fredy Serrano
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
35
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'3"
162.56 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yao Zhikui
oldest →latest
L
vs Royston Wee · Aug 14W
vs Nolan Ticman · May 15L
vs Jenel Lausa · Nov 16Fredy SerranoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Bentley Syler · Mar 15L
vs Ryan Benoit · Jul 16L
vs Hector Sandoval · Dec 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yao ZhikuiMetricFredy Serrano
1.44
Strikes / min
1.58
2.82
Strikes absorbed / min
1.89
48%
Strike defense
61%
0.66
TDs / 15 min
2.84
58%
Takedown defense
84%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.38Δ 1.07 — meaningful gap-0.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Yao ZhikuiFredy Serrano
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yao Zhikui(4 fights)Fredy Serrano(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.315.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-56.056.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Yao Zhikui
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights4
Fredy Serrano
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights4