Middleweight
3 Rounds
Yoel Romero won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, January 15, 2014·Duluth, Georgia, USA, USA
Style matchupYoel Romero: Well-roundedvsDerek Brunson: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Yoel Romero wins(51.9%)
Actual result: Yoel Romero wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yoel Romero enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Yoel Romero is a KO finisher (78% of wins). Derek Brunson has lost 86% of fights by KO.
- Derek Brunson has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Yoel Romero
Red Corner
VS
Derek Brunson
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
49
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yoel RomeroL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 17W
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Feb 18L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jun 18L
vs Paulo Costa · Aug 19L
vs Israel Adesanya · Mar 20Derek BrunsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 20W
vs Kevin Holland · Mar 21W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 21L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Feb 22L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Mar 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yoel RomeroMetricDerek Brunson
3.44
Strikes / min
3.51
3.05
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
60%
Strike defense
51%
1.57
TDs / 15 min
3.14
78%
Takedown defense
85%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.39evenly matched on net striking+0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Yoel RomeroDerek Brunson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yoel Romero(10 fights)Derek Brunson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.1-2.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Yoel Romero
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13
Derek Brunson
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights21