Middleweight
3 Rounds
Paulo Costa won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 17, 2019·Anaheim, California, USA, USA
Style matchupYoel Romero: Well-roundedvsPaulo Costa: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Paulo Costa wins(53.2%)
Actual result: Paulo Costa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yoel Romero has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Yoel Romero
Red Corner
VS
Paulo Costa
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
49
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yoel RomeroL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Nov 16L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 17W
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Feb 18L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jun 18L
vs Israel Adesanya · Mar 20Paulo Costa
oldest →latest
L
vs Marvin Vettori · Oct 21W
vs Luke Rockhold · Aug 22L
vs Robert Whittaker · Feb 24L
vs Sean Strickland · Jun 24W
vs Roman Kopylov · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yoel RomeroMetricPaulo Costa
3.44
Strikes / min
6.15
3.05
Strikes absorbed / min
5.96
60%
Strike defense
49%
1.57
TDs / 15 min
0.30
78%
Takedown defense
77%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.39evenly matched on net striking+0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Yoel RomeroPaulo Costa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yoel Romero(10 fights)Paulo Costa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+56.1-56.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Yoel Romero
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13
Paulo Costa
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11