Welterweight
3 Rounds
Sam Patterson won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 20, 2024·Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Sam Patterson wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Sam Patterson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sam Patterson threatens submissions; Yohan Lainesse has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Yohan Lainesse has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Yohan Lainesse
Red Corner
VS
Sam Patterson
Blue Corner
-142
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
33
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yohan Lainesse
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Gabe Green · Apr 22W
vs Darian Weeks · Sep 22L
SUBvs Mike Malott · Feb 23Sam Patterson
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Yanal Ashmouz · Mar 23W
SUBvs Kiefer Crosbie · Jul 24W
KOvs Danny Barlow · Mar 25W
KOvs Trey Waters · Sep 25L
vs Michael Page · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yohan LainesseMetricSam Patterson
2.22
Strikes / min
2.62
3.38
Strikes absorbed / min
3.06
58%
Strike defense
50%
0.94
TDs / 15 min
0.82
72%
Takedown defense
33%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.16evenly matched on net striking-0.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Yohan LainesseSam Patterson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yohan Lainesse(4 fights)Sam Patterson(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
Yohan Lainesse
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights4
Sam Patterson
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights6