Featherweight
3 Rounds
Ilia Topuria won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, October 10, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupYoussef Zalal: Submission grapplervsIlia Topuria: Submission grappler
Submission battle — patience and grip-fighting decide it on the mat.
Model Prediction: Youssef Zalal wins(50.5%)
Actual result: Ilia Topuria wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Youssef Zalal enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Ilia Topuria enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Ilia Topuria has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Youssef Zalal (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Youssef Zalal
Red Corner
VS
Ilia Topuria
Blue Corner
-162
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
29
Age
29
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Youssef ZalalW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Billy Quarantillo · Mar 24W
SUBvs Jarno Errens · Aug 24W
SUBvs Jack Shore · Nov 24W
vs Calvin Kattar · Feb 25W
SUBvs Josh Emmett · Oct 25Ilia TopuriaW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Bryce Mitchell · Dec 22W
vs Josh Emmett · Jun 23W
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Feb 24W
KOvs Max Holloway · Oct 24W
KOvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Youssef ZalalMetricIlia Topuria
2.78
Strikes / min
4.81
1.79
Strikes absorbed / min
3.83
64%
Strike defense
64%
1.84
TDs / 15 min
1.96
55%
Takedown defense
93%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.99evenly matched on net striking+0.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Youssef ZalalIlia Topuria
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Youssef Zalal(10 fights)Ilia Topuria(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+30.7-30.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.149.1
Youssef Zalal
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10
Ilia Topuria
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights9