Welterweight
3 Rounds
Adam Fugitt won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 4, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupYusaku Kinoshita: Pressure fightervsAdam Fugitt: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Yusaku Kinoshita wins(52.2%)
Actual result: Adam Fugitt wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Adam Fugitt is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Yusaku Kinoshita has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Adam Fugitt has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Yusaku Kinoshita
Red Corner
VS
Adam Fugitt
Blue Corner
-345
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+285
(26%)
25
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'1"
180.34 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yusaku Kinoshita
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Billy Ray Goff · Aug 23Adam FugittL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michael Morales · Jul 22L
SUBvs Mike Malott · Jun 23W
vs Josh Quinlan · Jun 24L
KOvs Islam Dulatov · Jul 25L
KOvs Ty Miller · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yusaku KinoshitaMetricAdam Fugitt
4.65
Strikes / min
4.88
5.12
Strikes absorbed / min
5.33
51%
Strike defense
51%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.63
50%
Takedown defense
50%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.47evenly matched on net striking-0.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Yusaku KinoshitaAdam Fugitt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yusaku Kinoshita(2 fights)Adam Fugitt(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.4-17.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.5-49.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.7-49.7
Yusaku Kinoshita
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2
Adam Fugitt
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights6