Middleweight
3 Rounds
Jacare Souza won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Wednesday, September 4, 2013·Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Yushin Okami wins(54.4%)
Actual result: Jacare Souza wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jacare Souza enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Yushin Okami has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Yushin Okami (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Yushin Okami
Red Corner
VS
Jacare Souza
Blue Corner
+210
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-230
(70%)
44
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yushin Okami
oldest →latest
W
vs Alan Belcher · Dec 12W
vs Hector Lombard · Mar 13L
SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Sep 17W
vs Dhiego Lima · Apr 18L
vs Aleksei Kunchenko · Dec 18Jacare SouzaL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jack Hermansson · Apr 19L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Nov 19L
vs Uriah Hall · May 20L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 20L
SUBvs Andre Muniz · May 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yushin OkamiMetricJacare Souza
2.06
Strikes / min
2.53
2.25
Strikes absorbed / min
2.83
60%
Strike defense
62%
1.98
TDs / 15 min
2.57
84%
Takedown defense
57%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.19evenly matched on net striking-0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Yushin OkamiJacare Souza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yushin Okami(10 fights)Jacare Souza(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+49.4-49.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+77.0-77.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.9-1.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Yushin Okami
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12
Jacare Souza
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights17