Middleweight
3 Rounds
Tim Boetsch won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 25, 2012·Saitama, Japan, Japan
Model Prediction: Tim Boetsch wins(52.5%)
Actual result: Tim Boetsch wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tim Boetsch is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Yushin Okami has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Yushin Okami has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Yushin Okami (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Yushin Okami
Red Corner
VS
Tim Boetsch
Blue Corner
-410
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+365
(22%)
44
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yushin Okami
oldest →latest
W
vs Hector Lombard · Mar 13L
KOvs Jacare Souza · Sep 13L
SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Sep 17W
vs Dhiego Lima · Apr 18L
vs Aleksei Kunchenko · Dec 18Tim BoetschL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Rafael Natal · Nov 16L
SUBvs Jacare Souza · Feb 17W
KOvs Johny Hendricks · Jun 17L
SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Apr 18L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Mar 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yushin OkamiMetricTim Boetsch
2.06
Strikes / min
2.93
2.25
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
60%
Strike defense
57%
1.98
TDs / 15 min
1.45
84%
Takedown defense
59%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.19evenly matched on net striking+0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Yushin OkamiTim Boetsch
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yushin Okami(10 fights)Tim Boetsch(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.71.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Yushin Okami
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12
Tim Boetsch
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights20