Lightweight
3 Rounds
Alexander Volkanovski won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, November 26, 2016·Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, Australia
Model Prediction: Alexander Volkanovski wins(55.9%)
Actual result: Alexander Volkanovski wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Volkanovski has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alexander Volkanovski has 68pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Yusuke Kasuya (53.5%).
- Alexander Volkanovski has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Yusuke Kasuya
Red Corner
VS
Alexander Volkanovski
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
36
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
170.18 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yusuke Kasuya
oldest →latest
L
vs Nick Hein · Sep 15Alexander VolkanovskiW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Yair Rodriguez · Jul 23L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Oct 23L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Feb 24W
vs Diego Lopes · Apr 25W
vs Diego Lopes · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yusuke KasuyaMetricAlexander Volkanovski
2.17
Strikes / min
5.99
4.34
Strikes absorbed / min
3.31
48%
Strike defense
58%
1.36
TDs / 15 min
1.63
0%
Takedown defense
68%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.17Δ 4.85 — meaningful gap+2.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Yusuke KasuyaAlexander Volkanovski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yusuke Kasuya(2 fights)Alexander Volkanovski(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-17.517.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Yusuke Kasuya
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach—
Fights2
Alexander Volkanovski
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights18