Lightweight
3 Rounds
Yves Edwards won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, October 1, 2011·Washington, DC, USA, USA
Style matchupYves Edwards: Well-roundedvsRafaello Oliveira: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Yves Edwards wins(58.5%)
Actual result: Yves Edwards wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yves Edwards enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Yves Edwards is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Rafaello Oliveira has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Yves Edwards has 58pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Yves Edwards (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Yves Edwards
Red Corner
VS
Rafaello Oliveira
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
49
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'8"
185.42 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yves EdwardsL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jeremy Stephens · Dec 12L
vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg · Feb 13L
vs Daron Cruickshank · Jul 13L
SUBvs Piotr Hallmann · Jun 14L
SUBvs Akbarh Arreola · Nov 14Rafaello OliveiraL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Andre Winner · Mar 10L
SUBvs Gleison Tibau · May 11W
vs Yoislandy Izquierdo · Jul 12L
KOvs Edson Barboza · Jul 13L
KOvs Erik Koch · Feb 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yves EdwardsMetricRafaello Oliveira
2.91
Strikes / min
2.19
2.34
Strikes absorbed / min
3.38
66%
Strike defense
59%
0.76
TDs / 15 min
2.49
69%
Takedown defense
11%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.57Δ 1.76 — meaningful gap-1.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Yves EdwardsRafaello Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yves Edwards(10 fights)Rafaello Oliveira(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+52.5-52.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
Yves Edwards
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights10
Rafaello Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6