Flyweight
3 Rounds
Dustin Ortiz won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 10, 2016·Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Style matchupZach Makovsky: WrestlervsDustin Ortiz: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Dustin Ortiz wins(55.5%)
Actual result: Dustin Ortiz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zach Makovsky (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Zach Makovsky
Red Corner
VS
Dustin Ortiz
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
43
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'5"
162.56 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Zach MakovskyL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Joshua Sampo · Feb 14L
vs Jussier Formiga · Aug 14W
vs Tim Elliott · Feb 15L
vs John Dodson · May 15L
vs Joseph Benavidez · Feb 16Dustin Ortiz
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Brandon Moreno · Apr 17W
KOvs Hector Sandoval · Aug 17W
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Jan 18W
vs Matheus Nicolau · Jul 18L
vs Joseph Benavidez · Jan 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Zach MakovskyMetricDustin Ortiz
1.94
Strikes / min
2.94
2.24
Strikes absorbed / min
2.17
62%
Strike defense
56%
3.71
TDs / 15 min
3.01
56%
Takedown defense
52%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.30Δ 1.07 — meaningful gap+0.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Zach MakovskyDustin Ortiz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Zach Makovsky(7 fights)Dustin Ortiz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.6-2.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+231.0-231.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Zach Makovsky
StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights7
Dustin Ortiz
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights14