Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Zach Reese won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, November 8, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jackson McVey wins(54.4%)
Actual result: Zach Reese wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Zach Reese threatens submissions; Jackson McVey has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Zach Reese has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Zach Reese has 52pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zach Reese (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Zach Reese
Red Corner
VS
Jackson McVey
Blue Corner
-255
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
32
Age
27
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
6'4"
Height
6'4"
195.58 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Zach ReeseL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Azamat Bekoev · Jan 25W
vs Dusko Todorovic · May 25L
vs Sedriques Dumas · Sep 25L
vs Michel Pereira · Feb 26Jackson McVey
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Brunno Ferreira · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Zach ReeseMetricJackson McVey
4.48
Strikes / min
6.51
3.92
Strikes absorbed / min
3.37
43%
Strike defense
23%
2.80
TDs / 15 min
0.00
52%
Takedown defense
0%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.56Δ 2.58 — meaningful gap+3.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Zach ReeseJackson McVey
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Zach Reese(4 fights)Jackson McVey(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.4-15.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-56.056.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
Zach Reese
StanceSwitch
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights5
Jackson McVey
StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights2