Middleweight
3 Rounds
Michel Pereira won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 21, 2026·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupZach Reese: WrestlervsMichel Pereira: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Zach Reese wins(57.6%)
Actual result: Michel Pereira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michel Pereira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Michel Pereira has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zach Reese (52.9%).
- Zach Reese has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Zach Reese
Red Corner
VS
Michel Pereira
Blue Corner
+142
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-168
(63%)
32
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'1"
195.58 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Zach Reese
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Azamat Bekoev · Jan 25W
vs Dusko Todorovic · May 25L
vs Sedriques Dumas · Sep 25W
SUBvs Jackson McVey · Nov 25Michel PereiraL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Mar 24W
SUBvs Ihor Potieria · May 24L
KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Oct 24L
vs Abus Magomedov · Apr 25L
KOvs Kyle Daukaus · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Zach ReeseMetricMichel Pereira
4.48
Strikes / min
4.46
3.92
Strikes absorbed / min
4.40
43%
Strike defense
51%
2.80
TDs / 15 min
1.21
52%
Takedown defense
75%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.56evenly matched on net striking+0.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Zach ReeseMichel Pereira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Zach Reese(4 fights)Michel Pereira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-42.042.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-77.077.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Zach Reese
StanceSwitch
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights5
Michel Pereira
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights15