Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Zak Cummings won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 15, 2023·Kansas City, Missouri, USA, USA
Style matchupZak Cummings: Well-roundedvsEd Herman: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Ed Herman wins(50.3%)
Actual result: Zak Cummings wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Zak Cummings has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zak Cummings (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Zak Cummings
Red Corner
VS
Ed Herman
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+184
(35%)
41
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Zak Cummings
oldest →latest
L
vs Michel Prazeres · May 18W
vs Trevor Smith · Dec 18W
SUBvs Trevin Giles · May 19L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Sep 19W
vs Alessio Di Chirico · Aug 20Ed Herman
oldest →latest
L
vs Gian Villante · Oct 18W
KOvs Patrick Cummins · May 19W
vs Khadis Ibragimov · Nov 19W
SUBvs Mike Rodriguez · Sep 20L
vs Alonzo Menifield · Aug 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Zak CummingsMetricEd Herman
2.96
Strikes / min
3.31
2.91
Strikes absorbed / min
3.71
55%
Strike defense
42%
0.62
TDs / 15 min
1.96
66%
Takedown defense
59%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.05evenly matched on net striking-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Zak CummingsEd Herman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Zak Cummings(10 fights)Ed Herman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+41.6-41.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+343.0-343.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Zak Cummings
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights14
Ed Herman
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights16