Welterweight
3 Rounds
Zak Cummings won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 15, 2017·Kansas City, Missouri, USA, USA
Style matchupZak Cummings: Well-roundedvsNathan Coy: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Nathan Coy wins(51.8%)
Actual result: Zak Cummings wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Zak Cummings has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Zak Cummings has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Zak Cummings
Red Corner
VS
Nathan Coy
Blue Corner
-550
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+425
(19%)
41
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Zak CummingsW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Trevor Smith · Dec 18W
SUBvs Trevin Giles · May 19L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Sep 19W
vs Alessio Di Chirico · Aug 20W
KOvs Ed Herman · Apr 23Nathan Coy
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Danny Roberts · Dec 15W
vs Jonavin Webb · Feb 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Zak CummingsMetricNathan Coy
2.96
Strikes / min
3.88
2.91
Strikes absorbed / min
2.40
55%
Strike defense
61%
0.62
TDs / 15 min
3.17
66%
Takedown defense
50%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.05Δ 1.43 — meaningful gap+1.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Zak CummingsNathan Coy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Zak Cummings(10 fights)Nathan Coy(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+50.8-50.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-272.0272.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Zak Cummings
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights14
Nathan Coy
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights3