Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Jacqueline Cavalcanti won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 2, 2023·Paris, Ile-de-France, France, France
Style matchupZarah Fairn: Pressure fightervsJacqueline Cavalcanti: Striker
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Jacqueline Cavalcanti wins(55.2%)
Actual result: Jacqueline Cavalcanti wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Zarah Fairn enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jacqueline Cavalcanti enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Jacqueline Cavalcanti has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jacqueline Cavalcanti has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Zarah Fairn
Red Corner
VS
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
Blue Corner
+300
(25%)
Vegas Odds
-380
(79%)
42
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Zarah FairnL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Megan Anderson · Oct 19L
KOvs Felicia Spencer · Feb 20L
vs Josiane Nunes · Jan 23Jacqueline CavalcantiW4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Josiane Nunes · Aug 24W
vs Nora Cornolle · Sep 24W
vs Julia Avila · Feb 25W
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Zarah FairnMetricJacqueline Cavalcanti
4.55
Strikes / min
5.65
7.40
Strikes absorbed / min
3.17
45%
Strike defense
68%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
60%
Takedown defense
88%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.85Δ 5.33 — meaningful gap+2.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Zarah FairnJacqueline Cavalcanti
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Zarah Fairn(4 fights)Jacqueline Cavalcanti(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-44.944.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Zarah Fairn
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5