Flyweight
3 Rounds
Zhalgas Zhumagulov won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 10, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupZhalgas Zhumagulov: Pressure fightervsJerome Rivera: Striker
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Zhalgas Zhumagulov wins(79.3%)
Actual result: Zhalgas Zhumagulov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Zhalgas Zhumagulov enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Zhalgas Zhumagulov threatens submissions; Jerome Rivera has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Zhalgas Zhumagulov has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zhalgas Zhumagulov (54.1%).
- Jerome Rivera has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Zhalgas Zhumagulov
Red Corner
VS
Jerome Rivera
Blue Corner
-315
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+240
(29%)
37
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
5'4"
Height
5'10"
167.64 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Zhalgas ZhumagulovL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Amir Albazi · Jan 21L
KOvs Manel Kape · Dec 21L
vs Jeff Molina · Jun 22L
vs Charles Johnson · Nov 22L
vs Joshua Van · Jun 23Jerome RiveraL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Tyson Nam · Sep 20L
vs Francisco Figueiredo · Jan 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Zhalgas ZhumagulovMetricJerome Rivera
5.24
Strikes / min
3.21
5.86
Strikes absorbed / min
2.60
52%
Strike defense
51%
1.30
TDs / 15 min
0.00
75%
Takedown defense
40%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.62Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap+0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Zhalgas ZhumagulovJerome Rivera
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Zhalgas Zhumagulov(6 fights)Jerome Rivera(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.6-16.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-3.03.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Zhalgas Zhumagulov
StanceSwitch
Height64.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights6
Jerome Rivera
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3