Flyweight
3 Rounds
Joshua Van won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 24, 2023·Jacksonville, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupZhalgas Zhumagulov: Pressure fightervsJoshua Van: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Joshua Van wins(52.2%)
Actual result: Joshua Van wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Zhalgas Zhumagulov enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joshua Van enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zhalgas Zhumagulov (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Zhalgas Zhumagulov
Red Corner
VS
Joshua Van
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+168
(37%)
37
Age
24
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'5"
167.64 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Zhalgas ZhumagulovL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Amir Albazi · Jan 21W
SUBvs Jerome Rivera · Jul 21L
KOvs Manel Kape · Dec 21L
vs Jeff Molina · Jun 22L
vs Charles Johnson · Nov 22Joshua VanW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Cody Durden · Dec 24W
vs Rei Tsuruya · Mar 25W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Jun 25W
vs Brandon Royval · Jun 25W
KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Zhalgas ZhumagulovMetricJoshua Van
5.24
Strikes / min
8.43
5.86
Strikes absorbed / min
5.82
52%
Strike defense
58%
1.30
TDs / 15 min
0.82
75%
Takedown defense
75%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.62Δ 3.23 — meaningful gap+2.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Zhalgas ZhumagulovJoshua Van
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Zhalgas Zhumagulov(6 fights)Joshua Van(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-45.645.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Zhalgas Zhumagulov
StanceSwitch
Height64.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights6
Joshua Van
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights10