Lightweight
3 Rounds
Zhang Lipeng won
UFC Event·Saturday, August 23, 2014·Macau, China, China
Model Prediction: Zhang Lipeng wins(65.8%)
Actual result: Zhang Lipeng wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Zhang Lipeng has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Zhang Lipeng has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zhang Lipeng (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Zhang Lipeng
Red Corner
VS
Brendan O'Reilly
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
36
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'7"
180.34 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Zhang LipengL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Sai Wang · Mar 14L
vs Chris Wade · Jan 15L
vs Kajan Johnson · May 15Brendan O'ReillyL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Vik Grujic · May 15L
KOvs Alan Jouban · Mar 16L
vs Dong Hyun Ma · Dec 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Zhang LipengMetricBrendan O'Reilly
1.28
Strikes / min
1.90
1.88
Strikes absorbed / min
2.77
53%
Strike defense
39%
1.75
TDs / 15 min
2.22
69%
Takedown defense
36%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.60evenly matched on net striking-0.87
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Zhang LipengBrendan O'Reilly
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Zhang Lipeng(4 fights)Brendan O'Reilly(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Zhang Lipeng
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4
Brendan O'Reilly
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights4