Lightweight
3 Rounds
Chris Wade won
UFC Event·Sunday, January 18, 2015·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Zhang Lipeng wins(50.6%)
Actual result: Chris Wade wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zhang Lipeng (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Zhang Lipeng
Red Corner
VS
Chris Wade
Blue Corner
+505
(17%)
Vegas Odds
-605
(86%)
36
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Zhang Lipeng
oldest →latest
W
vs Sai Wang · Mar 14W
vs Brendan O'Reilly · Aug 14L
vs Kajan Johnson · May 15Chris Wade
oldest →latest
W
vs Christos Giagos · Jun 15W
SUBvs Mehdi Baghdad · Jan 16L
vs Rustam Khabilov · May 16L
vs Islam Makhachev · Sep 16W
vs Frankie Perez · Jul 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Zhang LipengMetricChris Wade
1.28
Strikes / min
1.70
1.88
Strikes absorbed / min
1.75
53%
Strike defense
51%
1.75
TDs / 15 min
2.60
69%
Takedown defense
55%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.60evenly matched on net striking-0.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Zhang LipengChris Wade
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Zhang Lipeng(4 fights)Chris Wade(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.5-17.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Zhang Lipeng
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4
Chris Wade
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7