Lightweight
3 Rounds
Kajan Johnson won
UFC Event·Saturday, May 16, 2015·Manila, Philippines, Philippines
Model Prediction: Zhang Lipeng wins(62.5%)
Actual result: Kajan Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kajan Johnson has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zhang Lipeng (53.5%).
- Kajan Johnson has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Zhang Lipeng
Red Corner
VS
Kajan Johnson
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
36
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Zhang Lipeng
oldest →latest
W
vs Sai Wang · Mar 14W
vs Brendan O'Reilly · Aug 14L
vs Chris Wade · Jan 15Kajan JohnsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Naoyuki Kotani · Sep 15W
KOvs Adriano Martins · Sep 17W
vs Stevie Ray · Mar 18L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jul 18L
vs Rustam Khabilov · Sep 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Zhang LipengMetricKajan Johnson
1.28
Strikes / min
2.47
1.88
Strikes absorbed / min
1.59
53%
Strike defense
64%
1.75
TDs / 15 min
1.54
69%
Takedown defense
62%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.60Δ 1.48 — meaningful gap+0.88
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Zhang LipengKajan Johnson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Zhang Lipeng(4 fights)Kajan Johnson(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.1-36.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-218.0218.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Zhang Lipeng
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4
Kajan Johnson
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights7