Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Zhang Mingyang won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 23, 2024·Macau, China, China
Style matchupZhang Mingyang: Pressure fightervsOzzy Diaz: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Zhang Mingyang wins(60.9%)
Actual result: Zhang Mingyang wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ozzy Diaz has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Zhang Mingyang has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Ozzy Diaz has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Zhang Mingyang
Red Corner
VS
Ozzy Diaz
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
27
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'4"
190.5 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Zhang Mingyang
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Brendson Ribeiro · Feb 24W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Apr 25L
KOvs Johnny Walker · Aug 25Ozzy Diaz
oldest →latest
W
vs Djorden Santos · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Zhang MingyangMetricOzzy Diaz
7.71
Strikes / min
5.33
5.33
Strikes absorbed / min
6.52
43%
Strike defense
61%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
75%
Takedown defense
50%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.38Δ 3.57 — meaningful gap-1.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Zhang MingyangOzzy Diaz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Zhang Mingyang(4 fights)Ozzy Diaz(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.0-16.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.249.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Zhang Mingyang
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4
Ozzy Diaz
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights2