Women's Strawweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Rose Namajunas won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, April 24, 2021·Jacksonville, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupZhang Weili: Well-roundedvsRose Namajunas: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Zhang Weili wins(57.4%)
Actual result: Rose Namajunas wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rose Namajunas has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zhang Weili (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Zhang Weili
Red Corner
VS
Rose Namajunas
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
36
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'5"
160.02 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Zhang Weili
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Carla Esparza · Nov 22W
vs Amanda Lemos · Aug 23W
vs Yan Xiaonan · Apr 24W
vs Tatiana Suarez · Feb 25L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Nov 25Rose Namajunas
oldest →latest
W
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 24W
vs Tracy Cortez · Jul 24L
vs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 24W
vs Miranda Maverick · Jun 25L
vs Natalia Silva · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Zhang WeiliMetricRose Namajunas
4.66
Strikes / min
3.50
2.63
Strikes absorbed / min
3.38
53%
Strike defense
63%
1.96
TDs / 15 min
1.47
63%
Takedown defense
62%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.03Δ 1.91 — meaningful gap+0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Zhang WeiliRose Namajunas
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Zhang Weili(9 fights)Rose Namajunas(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-55.455.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+315.0-315.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Zhang Weili
StanceSwitch
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights9
Rose Namajunas
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights19