Lightweight
3 Rounds
Elves Brener won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 11, 2023·Perth, Western Australia, Australia, Australia
Style matchupZubaira Tukhugov: WrestlervsElves Brener: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Elves Brener wins(54.0%)
Actual result: Elves Brener wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Elves Brener enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Zubaira Tukhugov has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Zubaira Tukhugov has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Elves Brener has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Zubaira Tukhugov
Red Corner
VS
Elves Brener
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
35
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
172.72 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Zubaira Tukhugov
oldest →latest
W
vs Phillipe Nover · Dec 15L
vs Renato Moicano · May 16W
KOvs Kevin Aguilar · Feb 20L
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Sep 20W
vs Ricardo Ramos · Oct 21Elves BrenerL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Guram Kutateladze · Jul 23W
KOvs Kaynan Kruschewsky · Nov 23L
vs Myktybek Orolbai · May 24L
KOvs Joel Alvarez · Aug 24L
vs Esteban Ribovics · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Zubaira TukhugovMetricElves Brener
3.17
Strikes / min
4.76
3.07
Strikes absorbed / min
5.86
63%
Strike defense
50%
2.13
TDs / 15 min
0.99
100%
Takedown defense
76%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.10Δ 1.20 — meaningful gap-1.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Zubaira TukhugovElves Brener
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Zubaira Tukhugov(8 fights)Elves Brener(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+46.0-46.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.948.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Zubaira Tukhugov
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights8
Elves Brener
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6