Retrospective event replay · September 14, 2024
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
Every settled fight with a model replay on this card, with a Vegas comparison wherever both sides of the historical market were captured.
Event archive
Browse every event backtest
Pick a card and see exactly how our engine performed on it — every settled fight, scored against the result.
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Wider context
Overall historical track record
How to read this page
✅ CORRECT
Our engine picked the fighter who won.
❌ WRONG
Our engine picked the fighter who lost. We show our misses too.
🟢 We backed the underdog — and won
We picked the fighter the bookmakers expected to lose, and they won. The dollar figure is what a $100 bet on our pick would have returned on that fight.
Vegas Line
Who the bookmakers made the favorite, shown next to our pick for comparison.