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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Engine 4.0 System How our ELO works Our Philosophy What predicts fights The dataset

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An AI prediction engine for UFC fights. Built on public fight data, trained on seven thousand bouts. Not affiliated with UFC.

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Engine 4.0 — XGBoost + LightGBM + HistGradientBoosting

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For entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+.

Alex Caceres

16W · 13L

Southpaw

Featherweight

Bantamweight

38% finish rate83% as favorite35% as underdog

1500

ELO Rating

Overview Career Stats ELO Analysis Fight History All

Career Averages (per fight)

27.0

Sig. Strikes

0.4

Takedowns

0.9

Sub Attempts

How They Win

KO/TKO2 (13%)

Submission4 (25%)

Decision0 (0%)

Loss Vulnerability

KO/TKO1 (8%)

Submission5 (38%)

Decision0 (0%)

Betting Profile

Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog

As Favorite

83%

10W – 2L in 12 fights

As Underdog

35%

6W – 11L in 17 fights