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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Engine 4.0 System How our ELO works Our Philosophy What predicts fights The dataset

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An AI prediction engine for UFC fights. Built on public fight data, trained on seven thousand bouts. Not affiliated with UFC.

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Us vs Vegas
Betting ROI
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Engine 4.0 System
How our ELO works
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What predicts fights
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Error analysis

Engine 4.0 — XGBoost + LightGBM + HistGradientBoosting

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For entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+.

Aljamain Sterling

17W · 5L

Orthodox

Catch Weight

Featherweight

35% finish rate87% as favorite57% as underdog

1512

ELO Rating

Overview Career Stats ELO Analysis Fight History All

Career Averages (per fight)

28.6

Sig. Strikes

2.3

Takedowns

1.0

Sub Attempts

How They Win

KO/TKO2 (12%)

Submission4 (24%)

Decision0 (0%)

Loss Vulnerability

KO/TKO2 (40%)

Submission0 (0%)

Decision0 (0%)

Betting Profile

Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog

As Favorite

87%

13W – 2L in 15 fights

As Underdog

57%

4W – 3L in 7 fights