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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Engine 4.0 System How our ELO works Our Philosophy What predicts fights The dataset

This week's picks

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An AI prediction engine for UFC fights. Built on public fight data, trained on seven thousand bouts. Not affiliated with UFC.

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Us vs Vegas
Betting ROI
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Engine 4.0 System
How our ELO works
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What predicts fights
Model analytics
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Error analysis

Engine 4.0 — XGBoost + LightGBM + HistGradientBoosting

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For entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+.

Carla Esparza

9W · 6L

Orthodox

Women's Strawweight

22% finish rate67% as favorite71% as underdog

1497

ELO Rating

Overview Career Stats ELO Analysis Fight History All

Career Averages (per fight)

16.0

Sig. Strikes

3.4

Takedowns

0.4

Sub Attempts

How They Win

KO/TKO1 (11%)

Submission1 (11%)

Decision0 (0%)

Loss Vulnerability

KO/TKO2 (33%)

Submission1 (17%)

Decision0 (0%)

Betting Profile

Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog

As Favorite

67%

4W – 2L in 6 fights

As Underdog

71%

5W – 2L in 7 fights