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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Engine 4.0 System How our ELO works Our Philosophy What predicts fights The dataset

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An AI prediction engine for UFC fights. Built on public fight data, trained on seven thousand bouts. Not affiliated with UFC.

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Us vs Vegas
Betting ROI
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Engine 4.0 System
How our ELO works
Our Philosophy
What predicts fights
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Error analysis

Engine 4.0 — XGBoost + LightGBM + HistGradientBoosting

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For entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+.

Clay Guida

13W · 14L

Orthodox

Lightweight

Featherweight

38% finish rate88% as favorite32% as underdog

1490

ELO Rating

Overview Career Stats ELO Analysis Fight History All

Career Averages (per fight)

19.1

Sig. Strikes

3.0

Takedowns

0.7

Sub Attempts

How They Win

KO/TKO1 (8%)

Submission4 (31%)

Decision0 (0%)

Loss Vulnerability

KO/TKO2 (14%)

Submission6 (43%)

Decision0 (0%)

Betting Profile

Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog

As Favorite

88%

7W – 1L in 8 fights

As Underdog

32%

6W – 13L in 19 fights