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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Engine 4.0 System How our ELO works Our Philosophy What predicts fights The dataset

This week's picks

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An AI prediction engine for UFC fights. Built on public fight data, trained on seven thousand bouts. Not affiliated with UFC.

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Us vs Vegas
Betting ROI
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Calendar

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Engine 4.0 System
How our ELO works
Our Philosophy
What predicts fights
Model analytics
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Error analysis

Engine 4.0 — XGBoost + LightGBM + HistGradientBoosting

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For entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+.

Erik Koch

5W · 5L

Southpaw

Welterweight

Lightweight

60% finish rate50% as favorite50% as underdog

1492

ELO Rating

Overview Career Stats ELO Analysis Fight History All

Career Averages (per fight)

16.4

Sig. Strikes

0.2

Takedowns

0.6

Sub Attempts

How They Win

KO/TKO2 (40%)

Submission1 (20%)

Decision0 (0%)

Loss Vulnerability

KO/TKO2 (40%)

Submission0 (0%)

Decision0 (0%)

Betting Profile

Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog

As Favorite

50%

4W – 4L in 8 fights

As Underdog

50%

1W – 1L in 2 fights