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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Engine 4.0 System How our ELO works Our Philosophy What predicts fights The dataset

This week's picks

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An AI prediction engine for UFC fights. Built on public fight data, trained on seven thousand bouts. Not affiliated with UFC.

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Predictions
Track Record
Us vs Vegas
Betting ROI
Fighters
Calendar

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Engine 4.0 System
How our ELO works
Our Philosophy
What predicts fights
Model analytics
Test the Model
Error analysis

Engine 4.0 — XGBoost + LightGBM + HistGradientBoosting

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For entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+.

Gunnar Nelson

10W · 6L

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Welterweight

Catch Weight

80% finish rate62% as favorite67% as underdog

1496

ELO Rating

Overview Career Stats ELO Analysis Fight History All

Career Averages (per fight)

15.4

Sig. Strikes

1.3

Takedowns

0.9

Sub Attempts

How They Win

KO/TKO0 (0%)

Submission8 (80%)

Decision0 (0%)

Loss Vulnerability

KO/TKO1 (17%)

Submission0 (0%)

Decision0 (0%)

Betting Profile

Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog

As Favorite

62%

8W – 5L in 13 fights

As Underdog

67%

2W – 1L in 3 fights