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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Engine 4.0 System How our ELO works Our Philosophy What predicts fights The dataset

This week's picks

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An AI prediction engine for UFC fights. Built on public fight data, trained on seven thousand bouts. Not affiliated with UFC.

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Predictions
Track Record
Us vs Vegas
Betting ROI
Fighters
Calendar

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Engine 4.0 System
How our ELO works
Our Philosophy
What predicts fights
Model analytics
Test the Model
Error analysis

Engine 4.0 — XGBoost + LightGBM + HistGradientBoosting

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For entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+.

Jonathan Pearce

5W · 4L

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Featherweight

Lightweight

60% finish rate43% as favorite100% as underdog

1494

ELO Rating

Overview Career Stats ELO Analysis Fight History All

Career Averages (per fight)

6.7

Sig. Strikes

5.2

Takedowns

0.6

Sub Attempts

How They Win

KO/TKO2 (40%)

Submission1 (20%)

Decision0 (0%)

Loss Vulnerability

KO/TKO1 (25%)

Submission2 (50%)

Decision0 (0%)

Betting Profile

Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog

As Favorite

43%

3W – 4L in 7 fights

As Underdog

100%

2W – 0L in 2 fights