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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Engine 4.0 System How our ELO works Our Philosophy What predicts fights The dataset

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An AI prediction engine for UFC fights. Built on public fight data, trained on seven thousand bouts. Not affiliated with UFC.

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Us vs Vegas
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Engine 4.0 System
How our ELO works
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What predicts fights
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Engine 4.0 — XGBoost + LightGBM + HistGradientBoosting

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For entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+.

Kelvin Gastelum

14W · 10L

Southpaw

Middleweight

Welterweight

36% finish rate71% as favorite29% as underdog

1503

ELO Rating

Overview Career Stats ELO Analysis Fight History All

Career Averages (per fight)

25.3

Sig. Strikes

1.1

Takedowns

0.2

Sub Attempts

How They Win

KO/TKO3 (21%)

Submission2 (14%)

Decision0 (0%)

Loss Vulnerability

KO/TKO0 (0%)

Submission3 (30%)

Decision0 (0%)

Betting Profile

Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog

As Favorite

71%

12W – 5L in 17 fights

As Underdog

29%

2W – 5L in 7 fights